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  2. Taking The Pee Out Of Liverpool (For Khobar)

    Very well put. It is cringeworthy. Pure cringe. They have no idea what or why they are doing.
  3. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Mark Blyth (the political economist) did a youtube video on this recently. I am not a big fan of his, but I can't argue with his analysis. As he says, almost all government borrowing is ultimately resolved through growth making the value of the debt smaller rather than straight repayment especially in the "mustang" economies (eg US, UK). Without being depressing, the biggest problem we have (both nationally and internationally) at the moment is the lack of growth and the "big" issues will be those that have a detrimental impact on growth for the next 20 years or so and how we respond to them. These are not things like the virus, these are things like global warming, globalisation and so on. But, we have to separate what is urgent and what is important. The most urgent thing is to get people back to work as soon as possible to get the economy moving again. People need to understand that economic decline will reverse many gains made in the last 20 years (which, despite the complaints are, globally, huge). The decline will kill many more people than the virus (actually by factors of magnitude). We have to try to avoid that. That means getting people back to work. Hiding in our homes will make it worse, not better. So, for instance, the whole thing about opening schools is to make it possible for parents to work. School children are unlikely to suffer too much if they catch it, there is no evidence apart from anecdotal, that children give it to adults. On the downside, many children are being damaged by lack of interaction with their peer groups (this is important in socialisation) and there is the issue of children from less wealthy backgrounds missing out entirely because the quality of teaching is very inconsistent across socio-economic groups. However, the key driver is getting the parents back to work to create growth. The tax they pay is helpful in keeping things ticking over but its the growth that whittles down the value of the debt. We don't need to be stupid about it - we need to target the most important risks like shielding the vulnerable (which are mainly the elderly), keep the infection rate low so our health systems can cope and so on. I think there will be a push to change the 2m rule to a 1m rule soon to make it easier for small businesses, especially those in hospitality, to get back to work. 2m was always a bit arbitrary from science. Measures like track and trace and the quarantine will be dropped because of lack of compliance. We have a quite different culture which rejects these kinds of impositions. Our response to be nuanced, regional/local and so on. Put another way, we need to "box clever".
  4. Taking The Pee Out Of Liverpool (For Khobar)

    Intelligent support: Chelsea Football Club stands together with George Floyd and all victims in the fight against discrimination, brutality and injustice. As a club, we are committed to being a part of the solution, and we are joining our voice to all those calling for fairness, equality and meaningful change. Enough is enough. Together we are stronger.
  5. Coronavirus COVID-19

    :) Much too automated to ever have to speak to people. I used them before when an agency proposed them, and this time it was my suggestion.
  6. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Try answering the phone with that and expecting the caller to think you're sober? Hmmm ....
  7. Taking The Pee Out Of Liverpool (For Khobar)

    Just WTF are Liverpool players up to? Don't get me wrong, I am far from a fan of the USA as one could get, and BLM has been a thing for a long while. In fact I'll even throw in a quote from Malcolm X : ‘That’s not a chip on my shoulder; that’s your foot on my neck.’ But Protest should at least be intelligent. Kaepernick's "taking a knee" is not meant as a direct insult to the US flag and anthem, it is simply the man sitting out while the rest of the teams and crowd sing the US national anthem. It is a passive non-participation, much like James Mcclean not wearing a shirt with a poppy stitched on to it. Here Liverpool's squad are directly protesting - and not for BLM, they are protesting directly against the US national anthem. Idiots. Not too surprising I guess given that they once all wore shirts supporting Suarez after he was charged with racism. I shudder to think what American owners and fans of their Boston Red Sox baseball team think of it.
  8. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Great. I'm a long way short of setting up my own company at present. See how much work I get from them first, in the meantime I'm just using an umbrella company called (and it still makes me laugh) Brolly Lolly.
  9. Today
  10. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Don’t get too excited about IR35, Droy, HMRC has been trying to prosecute for years and failed dismally. At worst, pay yourself salary instead on dividend. BTw glad to see you’re back and in the pink.
  11. Yesterday
  12. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Exactly. Much better now. Nothing like open heart for me, just some cable going up a vein in my wrist while I lay down and dozed - an angiogram. Well yeah. My other bit of luck was the contractor work that I have waited about 10 months for finally started in May (online but that isn't a problem). So now I have googled IR35 I am all worried.
  13. RT @carolecadwalla: I would really really like to think these 2 facts are not connected https://t.co/lEybHiosj9

  14. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Aren’t the stents used to ‘open-out’ the effected arteries? More blood in and thus more oxygen - that’s what I thought. If you were doing the first 1.5k then getting tired, guessing that the heart wasn’t getting enough blood. My nephew had a heart attack at 35, turned out to be a benign growth in one of the atrium, bit of it came loose and blocked an artery - result was mild heart attack. Got really lucky, if the bit that got in the artery had gone to the brain - goodnight Vienna! Open heart surgery to get to the growth and apart from losing some heart muscle as a result of the attack, he’s far fitter than he was. On the money side, all UK tax payers will subsidise the billions paid out on the furlough scheme. Taxes and as you say inflation, if taxes don’t do the job. Basically anyone who’s got money will end up worse off for a good while. While the work shy will, as is the way these days be uneffected. Didn’t claim a penny myself, critical worker and all that. However even if I wanted to, wouldn’t have got much - small limited company paying dividends and corporation tax. But they knew lots of the self employed did exactly the same as this when they put the SE scheme forward. IR35 still lurking next year as a means of upping Govt. revenues from the self-employed.
  15. Coronavirus COVID-19

    The way I see it is that what ever it was that kept slowing me right down at 1.5km, is gone, and I should be able to run a lot further now. Just a shame I was so stubborn about it, but I can't imagine getting a routing check up this summer any other way. I think they have deferred tax payers to thank for it eventually. That and probably a big wallop of inflation to balance the books.
  16. Coronavirus COVID-19

    @DWMH Glad to hear that you took the correct ‘turn’, the left hand turn into the cemetery clearly wasn’t the one for you. Would guess that with the stents in you’ll be feeling a touch better than you were. Although not the best way of finding out you needed them. There’s a great deal of negativity being spoken about our governments actions or inaction. On the flip side of the coin, a great deal of people have a lot to thank this government for - 80% of their wages for sitting at home doing nowt, deferred mortgages, loan repayments etc.
  17. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Yes, good to hear you've recovered so quickly. Sounds like you were incredibly fortunate.
  18. Top 5 drill tunes of all time https://t.co/iXr5l0EhGB

  19. Last week
  20. Coronavirus COVID-19

    That goes from me too Droy....one of many voices and opinions I would miss very much on here......seize the day as they say.....
  21. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Oh my goodness, the gods were smiling on you that night Droy. Do take care and stay well.
  22. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Not just any cyclist. An A&E registrar on his way to work. Better than before in fact. Very very lucky, but I count it is a bonus. The following week I was finally contracted to run some courses I had been waiting on for months. All is v good right now. (I'll catch up on the missing posts soon, promise).
  23. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Sorry to hear about that Droy. Thank god for that cyclist and Police Officer. Hope you're well now.
  24. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Well, call a spade a spade!!!...but for all the seemingly "squirmy" words the true facts as they stand....can't avoid the reality by soft spoken easy words. Waay back as I remember when the polio scare hit us we as kids didn't go to the local swimming pool all summer..(Kingsbury pool now gone) and from an early age we lived there all summer...a swimming family..my mother was a top swimmer in her day as is my sister's eldest..holds records in Scotland..sorry I digress ..the point was we kept away from something that was very important in our family life. FOR SAFETY REASONS. I believe the lockdown helped in many ways but mainly for those at risk....any policy does not fit all so it is up to the sensible ones to follow what works best for them. As a younger man and still immortal I would probably have had a far more cavalier approach to things..as an at risk "older" person it would have been foolish to expose myself more than necessary.... JJust hope you all KEEP SAFE.
  25. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Snipped, but very sorry to hear about your heart attack and very glad that you're still here and posting. Care homes are indeed complex, and it sounds like you understand much more of their inner workings than me. I suppose though that the big difference between the 'normal' policy and sending residents home to pass in their own surroundings is that ordinarily they aren't dying of highly infectious diseases known to be particularly dangerous to the elderly. It seems there are specifics we disagree on, but broadly I think I'm on a similar page to you. We ended up with a set of measures dictated by a spineless government and their focus on what you call the optics rather than what the, ahem, "science" suggested would work (either much lesser or much stricter measures). My big worry now is what happens to the NHS and social care provision (for adults, but also safeguarding for children). I fear there is a backlog of, for want of a better way of putting it, work heading their way that they will struggle to cope with.
  26. Coronavirus COVID-19

    I gave up on taking people at face value a long time ago - taking Boris or the current set up at face value is crazy. You might as well ask Conte if he knew who was arriving next week. I don't believe hospital crowding was ever the issue of concern (other than the optics). Frankly taking severely sick patients off ventilators is standard NHS policy (quite right too in most cases). My interpretation of events has been a leadership group that couldn't decide. Boris went for a Swedish approach (herd immunity = no policy or at least very little). Then found he couldn't sell it so got the worst of both worlds with a late lockdown policy. To do that a few scare tactics were employed to get the population on board. The media bought into them deeply (feeling themselves to be socially committed to the cause). And now when I'm sure Boris and Co would like to unlock quickly, that won't sell either largely because no one - media, naive public, experts and politicians - are able to reverse that quickly. Oh yes, taking kids out of school while ignoring the really vulnerable was daft and damaging. It has certainly distorted our death rates (my low hanging fruit remark). The political goal should have been minimum deaths with maximum infections - so precisely the opposite. But this was clearly a cock-up, not a deliberate policy. Also as I understand it, many care homes were actually happy to take patients - those without many private paying patients run on very narrow margins, and can't afford to have empty beds. Where patients were in care before hospital, it is I understand standard practice for them to return to their home to die I familiar surroundings - certainly that is what happened to my uncle last year when they turned his ventilator off and cut off his drip feed. Alert readers may have noticed my post count stall about a month ago for the 3 days I spent in an NHS hospital. Incredibly, out on a run and collapsed outside Falconwood Cemetery from a heart attack, a man on his bike stopped and applied cpr, assisted by someone flagging down a Police car which carried a defibrillator which he had to use. 2 and a half minutes later this guy was back on his bike and off to work and my heart was beating again. So I got into hospital the only way one can nowadays, in an ambulance with flashing lights. Like the best fights I met my assailant at A&E, where he admitted.... admitted me as the Registrar having just started his night shift. My ribs still hurt. After 2 days I was given 3 stents and out the next day much fitter than before. Anyway, my points being that 1. I can witness that non-covid NHS is enjoying a very relaxed time of not being overworked. 2. A fully working NHS does wonders for everyone's health. My man from A&E 100% saved (retrieved) my life and the consultant gave me hopefully another 20 years. Nobody seems to be counting the cost of extending the curve beyond a few months Care homes are a very complex matter - quite brutal if we add the very useful unit of QALYs too. Best not discussed on the forum (by all means pm me if you want to discuss it). All I will say is that care home staff are underpaid bloody heroes.
  27. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Of course not - and I suspect you already understand that. But Sweden has shown that its health services have not been overwhelmed. But there a lot of issues here. The biggest two being whether Covid deaths now will be offset by fewer deaths in a 2nd or 3rd or 4th wave. I think they will. So ask: Would we end up with equal deaths long term? And will the effects of an extended lock down on ordinary health services lead to more deaths too? And will the economic effects of the extended and deeper lockdown lead to worse health and more deaths including suicide? Come the Caldicott equivalent Inquiry into Covid I predict the big criticism will be the failure to openly discuss QALYs with the publc. [The basic unit of health policy is QALY. Anyone heard it being used?]
  28. Coronavirus COVID-19

    Except the Conservative government have hardly tried to conceal the fact that lockdown was never, ever about preventing deaths. It was always about limiting ICU admissions and related strain on public resources for people who, to be blunt, weren't going to die but were going to cost quite a lot of money and political capital while in the process of not dying. The moment we decided to stick with the standard procedure of bouncing patients between hospital and care home beds (two warring factions who desperately try to protect their own budgets but in their silo thinking undoubtedly cost the state far more money than they would if health and social care were genuinely one and the same), we effectively and knowingly sentenced elderly and disabled care home residents to death. I don't think it's even a slight exaggeration to call it corporate murder. Lockdown was never about their wellbeing. I completely agree this Government have totally and utterly f**ked up, mind.
  29. Coronavirus COVID-19

    So you genuinely believe that if our population was asked to just "be sensible", the NHS wouldn't have been overwhelmed and we'd have had less deaths?
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