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ManagerXI

Premier League Betting Log - ManagerXI

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Hey Folks,


I'm a betting enthusiast when it comes to the Premier League and enjoy analysing each weeks fixtures to find that one bet that they bookies overpriced due to recent form and injuries.


Hopefully this thread will make ye a profit and provide a bit of banter along the way. I will be betting level stakes on every bet and recording the log using level stakes ROI - and not showing any supporters bias along the way:)


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I'm going to start off the log with what I consider to be a very safe bet, albeit with low odds, I think this bet has a ROI of 28% which any gambler will tell you is extremely good.


Man City v Swansea Betting Preview:


Man City are already 8 points off the lead in the Premier League so they have to start racking up the wins with Chelsea talking of going the whole season unbeaten but Swansea are a very tough test with a tight defense when they play away to the big teams and we can expect them to set up to be extremely difficult to break down especially with Aguero back to his best.


Everyone is impressed with Swansea except apparently the bookies so we have seen a drift in Man City to win from 1.29 to 1.4 which is still too short in my opinion against a team of Swansea's quality, especially after they outplayed Arsenal in their last game so confidence will be high. In Montero, Swansea have a top class winger and Bony up front can put away any chances that he can create. Swansea also were able to stop Arsenal from having a shot on target for the opening 43 minutes so they won't be completely overrun by the Man City attack. Gylfi Sigurdsson has scored or assisted nine Premier League goals this season and looks dangerous every time he receives the ball.


Man City also have to think about their Champions League match against Bayern Munich on Tuesday which they need to win to have any chance of progressing in the tournament so their motivation in this game might not be as high as expected even with their poor recent form of 1 win from their last 6 in all competitions whereas Swansea have only lost once in their last 6 league games. Only Southampton (7) have kept more clean sheets than Swansea (5) during this campaign.


David Silva (knee), left-back Aleksandar Kolarov and striker Edin Dzeko (both calf) have all been ruled out for Man City. Vincent Kompany was pictured back in training on Thursday and could face Swansea. Jonjo Shelvey will come back for Swansea after finishing his suspension for a red card against Everton.


Recommended Bet: Swansea +2 Asian Handicap - 1.425 Bet365


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That's the impression I got too. Never understood betting... wish people involved spoke English instead of gibberish ;-)

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And we're off with a win: Man City 2-1 Swansea

I'm glad I don't bet. I thought you recommended Swansea. Woulda wasted 50 cent there.

I'm pretty sure he did recommend Swansea.

There is that stock brokers trick of telling half you customers the market is going up, half it is going down. Then half love you and half leave you. But every client that makes money brings along 3 friends, so you double your client base. Repeat as necessary.

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Yes, he picked Swansea as winners if they started with a two goal head-start.

As City only won 2-1, according to his bet Swansea won 2-3.

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Yes, he picked Swansea as winners if they started with a two goal head-start.

As City only won 2-1, according to his bet Swansea won 2-3.

Based on what you've written, I'll repeat what I said earlier... Never understood betting and I wish the people involved spoke English instead of gibberish.

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Its not that difficult to understand and most bets are self explanatory:

Swansea +2 Asian Handicap means that:

If Swansea win - the bet wins

If Swansea draw - the bet wins

If Swansea lose by 1 goal - the bet wins

If Swansea lose by 2 goals - you get your money back

If Swansea lose by 3+ goals - the bet loses

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Its not that difficult to understand and most bets are self explanatory:

Swansea +2 Asian Handicap means that:

If Swansea win - the bet wins

If Swansea draw - the bet wins

If Swansea lose by 1 goal - the bet wins

If Swansea lose by 2 goals - you get your money back

If Swansea lose by 3+ goals - the bet loses

In what way, exactly, is "Swansea +2 Asian handicap" self explanatory?

It is ONLY "self explanatory" if you already know what +2 Asian Handicap means... that therefore precludes the notion of it being "self explanatory" as in "normal" English, +2 Asian Handicap is a totally meaningless phrase.

I repeat, for the second time, my earlier response... I wish the people involved spoke English instead of gibberish.

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