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ManagerXI

Premier League Betting Log - ManagerXI

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Sunderland played their best game of the season against West Ham and were a much improved unit but West Ham still managed to edge the game on performance as Sunderland still lack a cutting edge up front as they score less than a goal a game and were gifted a goal in the first half from the penalty spot when Adam Johnson threw himself to the ground as if he had been shot by a tank when he noticed the shadow of James Tomkins behind him. Sunderland have now drawn 10 of their 16 league games this season and they are clearly set up not to lose rather than going for the win.


Sunderland 1-1 West Ham

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Hull v Swansea Betting Preview:


Hull (19th) host Swansea (9th) with both teams currently in poor form. Hull have won just 2 games this season with a recent record of W0 D2 L4 while Swansea have won 6 games this season they are in a slump at the moment with a recent record of W1 D2 L4 however this recent form includes losses against Man City, Tottenham and the in form West Ham. In that run of 6 games, except for the game against Man City, Swansea was the better team in all and it was simply bad luck in front of goal that they don't have a much better points tally however this run has provided us with the value for this weekends bet.


Swansea are a formidable team and they play a very exciting brand of football with a front three of Bony, Sigurdsson and Montero who have caused every team they faced problems this season. 17 of Swansea's 21 league goals this season have been either scored or assisted by one of Wilfried Bony or Gylfi Sigurdsson while Jefferson Montero has been getting the best of every right back with his incredible pace since his arrival from Mexico in the summer and Hulls Ahmed El Mohamady, who played at right back in their last game, does not possess the defensive ability to contain him. Wilfried Bony has scored eight goals in his last 10 Premier League appearances (20 goals in 2014). Swansea have no injury concerns ahead of the trip to Hull. Lukasz Fabianski returns in goal after missing the loss to Tottenham through suspension.


Hull are in freefall at the moment having won just one of their last 15 league and cup games and they are without a win in 9 games in the league since beating Crystal Palace at the beginning of October while scoring just 2 goals in their last 8 games. They will be missing some very important players for this game with Tom Huddlestone serving a 4-match ban after his red card and fifth yellow card of the season against Chelsea and Michael Dawson is a out for 3-5 weeks after tearing his hamstring and he has been the heart of Hulls defence this season while Huddlestone will be a major loss in midfield and Hull will struggle to maintain possession with him out of the side while Mohamed Diame will be unavailable until the new year and his powerful runs forward from midfield were almost unstoppable and forced defences to sit a bit deeper than they might have otherwise. Hull averages the lowest shots-per-game ratio this season, with just 9.2 and they are unlikely to get more than that against Swansea.


While I was tempted by the draw no bet market I will go for the more conservative double chance market as Swansea have failed to win in their last 6 away matches in the Premier League.


Recommended Bet: Swansea To Win or Draw (Double Chance) - 1.44 Coral

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Sunderland played their best game of the season against West Ham and were a much improved unit but West Ham still managed to edge the game on performance as Sunderland still lack a cutting edge up front as they score less than a goal a game and were gifted a goal in the first half from the penalty spot when Adam Johnson threw himself to the ground as if he had been shot by a tank when he noticed the shadow of James Tomkins behind him. Sunderland have now drawn 10 of their 16 league games this season and they are clearly set up not to lose rather than going for the win.
Sunderland 1-1 West Ham

Another victory!

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Swansea went with an unusual lineup with knocks to Sigurdsson and Montero ruling them out with Gomis getting the nod over Bony however Hulls injuries were more important to the team and they were outclassed by Swansea from start to finish and it was important that they got the three points as they will lose important players to the African Cup of Nations and the Asian Cup next month.


Hull 0-1 Swansea

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Boxing day games are more unpredictable than usual as a lot of teams are unable to maintain their pregame routine and some have to travel large distances on the day of the game instead of the day before so I would recommend keeping your stakes lower than usual and be careful about backing the away team to win.





I have put together some stats that may help you decide on a bet:


*There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 14 of Liverpool's last 15 away games in the Premier League.


*There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Southampton's last 6 away games in the Premier League.


*Everton have scored at least 2 goals in 12 of their last 14 home matches in the Premier League however they have seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches against Stoke in all competitions.


*Leicester have lost 9 of their last 10 matches in the Premier League / There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of Tottenham's last 10 games in the Premier League.


*There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 13 of Man Utd's last 16 home games in the Premier League / Man Utd have won 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Premier League.


*Hull have failed to score in 7 of their last 9 matches in the Premier League / There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Sunderland's last 7 games in the Premier League.


*Aston Villa have won just one of the six Premier League meetings with Swansea (W1 D3 L2).


*Arsenal are undefeated in 25 of their last 26 home matches in the Premier League / QPR have lost their last 9 away matches in the Premier League while they have conceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches in the Premier League.





Whats your best bet?

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Had a 50 quid double on Lyon and Man U draw no bet at evens. I now hate united even more.

This thread is interesting though, and successful so far.

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Chelsea v Man City Betting Preview:


Top of the table clash and potential title decider if Chelsea win... a bit early in the season to make that assumption but not far off the mark either with Chelsea currently leading the title race by 5 points.


Both teams are missing key players which will have a big impact on this match with Chelsea more than likely happy enough with a draw to maintain their lead over the main title rival and City looking to make up ground but aware of the consequences if they push too hard for the win and leave gaps at the back.


City will be without Yaya Toure who will be a massive loss in the midfield battle while Samir Nasri is expected to be unavailable for another week or two. Mangala is undergoining tests on his groin while new signing Wilfried Bony is still competing in the African Cup Of Nations.


Chelsea have more serious injury concerns with Fabregas unavailable with a hamstring injury and he will not be available to pull the strings in midfield while they are lacking his fantastic link up play which has netted him 15 assists this season and he should break Thierry Henry's record of 20 assists in a season. Main man Diego Costa will also be unavailable after he was confirmed this afternoon as receiving a 3 man ban for stamping on Liverpools Emre Can. Costa has been lethal this season with 17 goals so far and has been involved in 37% of Chelseas league goals this season while Fabregas has been involved in 33%. Drogba is expected to fill in as a lone striker but he is currently a shadow of Costas brilliance and dominance in the opposition box and will not be a match for Kompany.


We can expect Chelsea to set out to contain Man City and try to hit them on the counter mainly through Hazard who will struggle without having the ever present outlet Fabregas offers and Fernando and Fernandinho will cut off the space for him to operate. Both teams are expected to line out with two very defensively minded holding midfielders in Matic and Ramires (Chelsea) and Fernando and Fernandinho will provide the steel for City with Milner doing a job where needed to cut off Oscars space when he switches to the right wing.


I expect this to be a defensive masterclass from Mourinho given his injuries have restricted his options and with City being cautious this will be a very tight game with City being undefeated in their last 6 away games.


Recommended Bet: Man City To Win or Draw (Double Chance) - 1.73 Bet365

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Well in mate. Keep it up.

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Leicester v West Ham Betting Preview


West Ham are coming up against a Leicester side who are woefully out of form and looking to almost certainly be relegated. Leicester have failed to score in their last 3 home matches in the Premier League while only having 1 win in their last 10 home league games. Leicester have scored just three goals in their last nine Premier League games at the King Power Stadium and have gone five hours and 15 minutes since they lasted netted in front of their own fans. On the flip side West Ham are not great for the win away from home and they have struggled to keep clean sheets but they have the better midfield and they will battle Leicester who have gone for an attacking lineup without someone to pull the strings in midfield and control the game where West Ham have Downing to keep Leicester pinned back and punish them on the counter attack supported by Kouyate who returns to his usual midfield position.


The odds are simply too big on West Ham due to their away stats but the matchup is more in favour of West Ham than the bookies are suggesting and there is a decent bit of value available.


Recommended Bet: West Ham To Win Or Draw Double Chance - 1.73 Bet365


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